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A Scoring Rule-Based Mechanism for Aggregate Demand Prediction in the Smart Grid

Rose, H., Rogers, A. and Gerding, E. H. (2012) A Scoring Rule-Based Mechanism for Aggregate Demand Prediction in the Smart Grid. In: The 11th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2012), Valencia, Spain.

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Abstract

This paper presents a novel scoring rule-based strictly dominant incentive compatible mechanism that encourages agents to produce costly estimates of future events and report them truthfully to a centre. Whereas prior work has assumed a fixed budget for payment towards agents, this work makes use of prior information held by the centre and assumes a budget that is determined by the savings made through the use of the agents' information over the centre's own prior information. This mechanism is compared to a simple benchmark mechanism wherein the savings are divided equally among all home agents, and a cooperative solution wherein agents act to maximise social welfare. Empirical analysis is performed in which the mechanism is applied to a simulation of the smart grid whereby an aggregator agent must use home agents' information to optimally purchase electricity. It is shown that this mechanism achieves up to 77% of the social welfare achieved by the cooperative solution.

Item Type:Conference or Workshop Item
Creator/Authors:
Harry Rose
Alex Rogers
Enrico H. Gerding
Research Group:Current ECS Groups > Agents, Interaction and Complexity
Old ECS Groups > Intelligence, Agents, Multimedia
Date:June 2012
Information about this record:
ID Code:23139
Last Modified:12 Feb 2012 14:08
Deposited On:23 Jan 2012 14:39 by Rose, Harry

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